Description: Just as the U.S. is dealing with a new surge of COVID-19 hospitalizations and death, the pandemic’s impact on the nation’s mortality rate is generating heightened interest. Two new reports issued from the Society of Actuaries provide important insights.

Description: This report is a follow-up to the 2018 Group Long-Term Disability Experience Study Report. This report analyses the same dataset, but focuses on the new variables that are included with that dataset, and also details the application of various Predictive Analytics techniques to the data.

Description: The VBT Analysis Subgroup of the Joint Academy Life Experience Committee and SOA Preferred Mortality Oversight Group recommends the approach documented in this report for determining when there is sufficient change in the emerging actual mortality experience relative to the current VBT to warrant changes to the table.

Description: Tree models have been found to provide a good fit to group long term disability recovery and mortality rates. This research paper provides an overview of tree models, and details how they have been used for developing these rates.